Real Time Strategy: When Strategic Foresight Meets Artificial Intelligence
- Length: 208 pages
- Edition: 1
- Language: English
- Publisher: Emerald Publishing
- Publication Date: 2020-04-29
- ISBN-10: 1787568121
- ISBN-13: 9781787568129
- Sales Rank: #2945738 (See Top 100 Books)
In today’s world, decision makers struggle to make good long-term decisions. There is simply too much volatility, too much complexity, too much fake news, and too little time to make sense of all the information that is at our fingertips. We are drowning in data, surrounded by uncertainty and thus live in a world that lacks clarity.
Moving away from the static thinking of many strategists, this book updates and upholds the importance of scenario design and thinking in the face of uncertainty. The authors investigate the journey of the art and science of scenario thinking, from its beginnings in the military to becoming a part of the mainstream strategy toolkit in the business world. Delving into the new frontiers of scenario thinking and planning, the book explores topics such as:
- Human intuition
- The analysis and reflection process
- Hybrid decision platforms
- Social media sensing
- Artificial Intelligence.
Combining classical scenario thinking (the gentle art of perception) with the analytical power of big data and artificial intelligence, Real Time Strategy presents the decision making of the future which enables decision makers to develop dynamic strategies, monitor their validity, and react faster.
Cover Title Copyright Dedication Contents List of Tables and Figures An Initial Reflection 1. Three Cheers to Uncertainty The Trap of Static Strategy Towards Dynamic Strategic Thinking Dimensions of Dynamic Strategy Clarity: Take the Long View Validity: Embrace Uncertainty and Manage Complexity Relevance: Execute with Purpose Notes 2. The validity of traditional scenario planning What Are Scenarios? How Scenarios Differ from Predicting or Forecasting the Future A Short History of Scenario Planning Scenario Planning Application Guidelines for Designing Scenarios The Long View Outside-in Thinking Plausibility Holistic View Embrace Uncertainty Zoom-out, Zoom-in Machine Objectivity Meets Human Intuition Number of Scenarios Scenario Team Notes 3. The traditional scenario planning process Focal Question Driving Forces Critical Uncertainties Scenario Framework Scenario Narratives Implications and Options Monitoring Scenarios With Cutting-Edge Technology Notes 4. How the scenario process is changing Crowdsourcing Ideas and Ai-Generated Insights Democratising Scenario Processes Speeding up the Scenario Process New Ways of Telling Stories Notes 5. Superpower for strategists The Secret of Strategic Success – and Failure The Original Strength of Strategists Our True Enemies Enemy No. 1: Complexity Enemy No. 2: Adaptiveness Attempts to Protect Against the Enemies Our Ultimate Superpower Against Our Strongest Enemies From Fiction to Science to Strategy Notes 6. Real-time scenario modelling How ai can Augment the Research Stage Focal Question Driving Forces How ai can Augment The Modelling Stage Critical Uncertainties Scenario Framework Scenario Narratives How ai Can Augment the Monitoring Stage Scenario Monitoring Scenario Health 7. Closing perspectives Perspective 1: Storytelling in a Data-Driven World Uncertainty Is a Given, But How Do We Master It? Strategy Is About Hard Facts – Really? Strategy Beyond Ethics Maintain the Doubt Narratives Remain Valid in Strategy Perspective 2: The Future of Collective Sense-Making A Forced Upgrade to Collective Thinking The Stakes Could Not Be Higher Perspective 3: a Decision-Making Utopia A Story of Storytelling There Are No Simple Answers to Interesting Challenges Proposal for a New Decision-Making Culture Notes References Index
Donate to keep this site alive
1. Disable the AdBlock plugin. Otherwise, you may not get any links.
2. Solve the CAPTCHA.
3. Click download link.
4. Lead to download server to download.